US intelligence is now warning that a large new buildup of Russian forces on its border with Ukraine may be a prelude to a full-scale invasion.
The Details:
-Some 92,000 Russian Troops are now on the border with Ukraine
-The intelligence in questions lays out a potential scenario in which Russian troops invade Ukraine from at least three directions with 100 battalion tactical groups.
Why it Matters:
Russia has been locked in a frozen conflict with Ukraine since 2014, when a US backed color revolution toppled the formerly pro-Kremlin government. In response, Russia seized and annexed the Crimean Peninsula, where its Black Sea Fleet is headquartered and Russian backed separatists militas then took over parts of Eastern Ukraine and former their own state.
If Russia does decide to press forward with a full invasion of Ukraine it would be a dangerous escalation which could potentially draw the United States and other nations into what could be a be highly destructive full-scale war.
In spite of the risks, at present Ukraine is not a part of the NATO alliance meaning the US is not treaty bound to defend it in case of a Russian invasion.
What Anti-Russian sources are saying:
U.S. failure to deter Putin from invading Ukraine again will have negative consequences for the U.S. goal of deterring China from invading Taiwan. An effective China strategy requires an effective Russia strategy.
— Michael McFaul (@McFaul) November 20, 2021
Our friend and ally Ukraine is crying out for help as Russia amasses nearly 100,000 troops at their border. And so far, Joe Biden has done nothing to stop it.
— Nikki Haley (@NikkiHaley) November 17, 2021
This pattern of abandoning our allies needs to stop now.
What Pro-Russian sources are saying:
A majority of Americans support going to war with Russia over Ukraine, and to war with China over Taiwan. Church attendance may be down sharply, but millenarian dreams are stronger than ever here. And who can blame us? Shit jobs, shit lives—who wants to go on living like this? pic.twitter.com/OszuFZd0Sw
— Mark Ames (@MarkAmesExiled) November 22, 2021
An effective Russia strategy would mean listening to Moscow's concerns, rather than trying to goad the Kremlin into war.
— Bryan MacDonald (@27khv) November 21, 2021
America/NATO doesn't need Ukraine. But Russians see the prospect of hostile forces deployed there as an existential national security threat. Look at a map. https://t.co/pkhDUq2XGG
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