Since their November 8th Midterm election Senate race, the polling data between (R) Herschel Walker and (D) Raphael Warnock have maintained a razor-thin margin. Currently, Real Clear Politics has Walker up an average of 1.4 points. However, heading into their December 6th run-off election, Real Clear Politics is still calling this race a toss up.
The polls Real Clear Politics used to conclude the average:
| FOX 5/InsiderAdvantage* | 11/6 – 11/6 | 550 LV | 4.2 | 49 | 47 | Walker +2 |
| WANF-TV/Landmark* | 11/4 – 11/7 | 1214 LV | 2.8 | 47 | 46 | Walker +1 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)* | 11/4 – 11/6 | 1103 LV | 2.9 | 50 | 47 | Walker +3 |
| Data for Progress (D)** | 11/2 – 11/6 | 1474 LV | 3.0 | 49 | 48 | Walker +1 |
| East Carolina U.* | 11/2 – 11/5 | 1077 LV | 3.5 | 49 | 49 | Tie |
One area of hope for Walker is the fact that the December 6th run-off election was sparked due to over 80,000 votes for the Libertarian party candidate, Chase Oliver, who received over 2% of the total vote on November 8th. Oliver will not be on the ticket for the run-off election, and Libertarians have a tendency to fall in line closer to Republicans than they do Democrats.
If the Walker campaign can manage to have a good turnout on December 6th, as well as convince a portion of Libertarians to vote Republican for this Senate race, then Walker can escape the run-off election with a win – securing a 50-50 U.S. Senate.
