Polls routinely underreport republicans. This is only becoming more common.
Robert Cahaly is the founder and senior strategist and pollster of Trafalgar group. Cahaly told the Daily Wire that republican voters will be significantly underestimated in upcoming and current polls. Recently, the President of the United States branded Donald Trump’s supporters as “enemies of the state.” It’s a safe bet that many or most of them may not be wearing thier political affiliations on their sleeves.
People lose their jobs, lose access to social circles, and even face legal action when they speak freely about republican viewpoints. Even if they had completely pure intentions, it’s likely that pollsters will underestimate republican votes. Moreover, pollsters do not always have good intentions.
“These submerged voters aren’t answering polls, they aren’t putting stickers on their cars, or signs in their yard — they’re not even posting on social media,” Cahaly said. “They are underwater. They’re not saying a word to anybody until election day.”
Cahaly said voters shouldn’t trust polls in the coming weeks, considering many pollsters failed to accurately predict the last three elections by highly favoring Democrats and undercounting Republicans.
“Polls have two purposes,” he said. “They’re either to reflect the electorate, or they’re to affect the electorate — and too many of these media and university-based polls are designed to affect the electorate and are trying to create a false narrative quite often when there’s not one.”
With American skepticism of polling continually increasing due to false narratives forged by the pollsters, Cahaly said such groups have already begun to face the possibility of getting the next election cycle completely wrong again.