In the wake of Nikki Haley’s 2024 announcement, new polling has shown that Florida Governor Ron DeSantis’ support is being eroded by Haley and other candidates who are not Donald Trump. A YouGov poll found that DeSantis leads Trump in a hypothetical head-to-head match-up, 45 percent to 41 percent. But with Haley in the mix, Trump leads with 38 percent support to DeSantis’s 35 percent and Haley’s 11 percent. Other polls back up this data, a recent one done by Political Poll sees the candidates all cutting into DeSantis’ number; Pence (7%), Haley (3%), Cheney (3%), Cruz (3%). This has been a worry for the DeSantis camp as his team knows that he will need all the support he can get from the non-Trump Republican vote in order to win the nomination.
2024 National Republican Primary:
Trump 47%
DeSantis 31%
Pence 7%
Haley 3%
Cheney 3%
Cruz 3%
Abbott 1%
Noem 1%
Pompeo 1%
T. Scott 1%
Youngkin 0%.@MorningConsult, 3,258 RV, 2/10-12https://t.co/8E7nq4VZzW
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) February 14, 2023
DeSantis will hope that other candidates will be forced to drop out of the primary as they start to loose funds. If these candidates drop out early enough than he may be able to claim back enough votes to to take home the nomination. Then again, there is so much time between now and the primary, and there could be a seismic shift which completely resets the polling numbers.
According to The Hill:
Pollsters also found DeSantis leading President Biden in a hypothetical general election match-up, 44 percent to 43 percent, but Biden leads Trump by 6 points, 47 percent to 41 percent.
DeSantis has been rumored as a possible contender for the GOP nomination and has consistently placed at least second in hypothetical Republican primary polls. In some cases, he has been in first ahead of Trump.
Many other prominent Republicans, including former Vice President Mike Pence, former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson (R) and former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, have indicated that they are considering their own runs, which could lead the Republican primary to become a crowded race.