Michigan
Inconsistent polling suggests at least a semi-competitive Governor’s race featuring incumbent Gretchen Whitmer (D) and challenger Tudor Dixon (R), an online radio personality. Early voting reports are heavily Democratic, which could be an indication of an impending Whitmer victory.
Reapportionment cost Michigan a seat, and a new citizens redistricting commission has drawn a tight map, thus creating several highly competitive districts. Reps. Elissa Slotkin (D-Holly) and Dan Kildee (D-Flushing) are in tight races. Former Republican US Senate nominee John James is fighting for a closely partisan congressional district in the Detroit suburbs against former Macomb County prosecutor Carl Marlinga (D).
Republicans also must protect a more Democratic western Michigan 3rd District after freshman Rep. Peter Meijer (R-Grand Rapids), one of the ten Republican Trump impeachment voters was denied renomination in the August primary. The Michigan races will certainly draw considerable attention on election night. We can expect a series of close finishes.
